Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 1240.312135 1431.964598 1653.852905 1932.237403 2275.714749 2690.356142 3.236101e+03
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 991.333834 1235.243824 1548.677754 1990.816885 2615.224044 3493.156964 4.875074e+03
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 866.375765 1128.406546 1486.617546 2030.022168 2868.075923 4177.277551 6.530748e+03
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 760.673363 1024.800725 1403.616661 2012.645540 3022.933525 4751.679508 8.261461e+03
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 696.807321 967.002380 1371.379570 2056.826704 3274.492324 5552.078479 1.079579e+04
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 620.003613 878.612286 1277.585654 1980.442861 3294.644154 5928.114338 1.264510e+04
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 559.921193 807.991946 1201.001856 1917.467499 3320.845033 6319.957670 1.477491e+04
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 508.306485 744.814025 1128.046206 1847.602377 3315.743785 6640.739641 1.694073e+04
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 491.285293 735.034119 1142.418293 1939.468174 3663.164233 7914.779734 2.315787e+04
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 469.812338 715.365107 1136.707423 1990.947626 3936.035725 9124.611004 3.058522e+04
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 447.839299 692.514218 1122.243482 2021.816502 4169.380931 10340.006983 3.982887e+04
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 422.411994 661.298132 1088.789799 2007.306023 4287.908042 11270.570261 4.931704e+04
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 405.497014 644.782485 1083.304634 2057.698404 4605.151681 13107.084591 6.917706e+04
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 393.238231 635.661067 1091.330207 2141.248617 5047.428789 15758.804674 1.056898e+05
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 377.412720 618.332650 1080.712215 2178.874471 5370.524161 18219.879895 1.551013e+05
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 357.823767 592.279391 1049.503927 2161.280053 5519.627739 20053.963438 2.119826e+05
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 345.867072 579.717516 1044.825345 2209.409853 5903.874763 23488.646480 3.419681e+05
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 323.907243 546.163633 992.392524 2125.635653 5808.116070 24200.150340 4.218865e+05
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 305.003608 517.365891 947.767811 2056.520984 5748.672512 25135.510343 5.366902e+05
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 287.040927 489.328923 902.562710 1979.961580 5643.183196 25732.274518 6.648018e+05
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 283.668864 490.059517 920.700541 2080.654450 6257.453025 32189.049992 1.575946e+06
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 277.174181 483.978311 922.921277 2137.143949 6724.261977 38485.578005 3.900082e+06
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 269.538949 475.007755 917.639225 2171.037473 7114.065880 45022.126104 1.141410e+07